THE CROWDED MARKET REPORT BREAKDOWN

This report is the most IMPORTANT content we provide and the foundation to the services we provide. It sets the tone of the week and provides the needed insight on how to approach the markets from a CMR/COT standpoint along with Jason’s thoughts on upcoming events and narrative.  The CMR is scheduled for publication on Sundays before 3pm EST. There are weeks where the report is published on Monday due to COT data being delayed until Monday because of U.S. federal holidays. I am proud to say that since inception in January 2021, we have only missed one report and that was due to the CFTC having technical issues and they did not publish the report. Otherwise, a report has been published every week. We hope to continue this performance well into the future.  The CMR will include specific market analysis, a summary section, COT set-ups, active positions and any trades made the previous week. It will also include COT Index data presented in different formats, which are already included in the CMR Index Excel file.

CMR COT CHARTS

We provide the best COT charts available.  We publish the charts the fastest of any service according to our members.  CMR Charts provide the best visualization of trader positioning showing net positions for Commercials, Large Speculators and Small Speculators.

CMR COT charts come in three different formats that provide the same data:

  • Excel – Published the fastest and covers major markets.
  • Webpage – Most Dynamic. Video to the right shows functionality.
  • TradingView – The TradingView charts allow members to view price, positioning and index all on the same chart. 

CMR COT INDEX

A market becomes crowded long or short once it reaches a specific reading on the CMR COT Index which is a proprietary oscillator that was developed through extensive back testing and based on many years of trading experience.  The COT report data is indexed, which means the data for each contract covered is reviewed with a specific look back period that differs for each market/contract.  This process is similar to a Relative Strength Index (RSI) or an oscillator indicator.  The reason the data is indexed versus just looking at the absolute data is the challenge of waiting for absolute data to become crowded, which may take an extended period of time.  

 

The index is based on a scale of 0 – 100, where 0 equals maximum short level (aka max crowded short) and 100 equals maximum long level (aka max crowded long).  As far as the CMR process, any value that is 5 or less, qualifies as having met maximum crowded level short. Similarly, a value of 95 or higher indicates a maximum crowded level long. 

Private CMR Discord Chat Room

Our members range from beginners to portfolio managers – all are welcome, and all find real, lasting value.